ActiVote Poll – August 15th, 2020

ActiVote conducted a national, presidential election poll among 701 registered voters during the past 4 weeks. The result is weighted to represent the national electorate on characteristics such as region, gender, age, party affiliation, ethnicity, education, income, and likelihood to vote.

By nature of our poll there are no undecideds among our survey responses (so all categories sum to 100%) and we only focus on the head-to-head competition between the presumptive Democratic candidate (former Vice President Joe Biden) and the presumptive Republican candidate (current President Donald Trump).

For information on how we conducted this poll, and our current estimate of a 5% liberal bias in our results, please see our answers to the CNN Transparency questionnaire for polling standards

Overall, former Vice President Biden leads President Trump by 18 points: 

We find that 1 in 5 Republicans and 1 in 12 Democrats intend to vote for the other party’s candidate. More than 2 out of 3 Independents favor Biden over Trump.

We found a gender gap of 12%, with more women preferring Biden. Still, even among men, Biden leads by 12%. 

More than 2 out of 3 voters under 50 prefer Biden over Trump. Middle aged voters (50-64) go for Biden by a 10% margin, while Trump is narrowly ahead with the elderly (65+).

The racial divide is enormous, where only 1 in 25 Black voters and only 1 in 3 Latino voters support Trump. Even among White voters Biden has a small edge of 6%.

Our educational findings are that college educated voters are just breaking for Trump, while those without a college degree favor Biden by 3:2.

Our poll finds that Biden leads the president by 10 points or more in all income categories, with more support among those with the lowest incomes.

Below are links to our previous installments of our weekly presidential poll.

ActiVote Presidential Poll July 11th, 2020

ActiVote Presidential Poll July 4th, 2020

ActiVote Presidential Poll June 27th, 2020

ActiVote Presidential Poll June 20th, 2020

ActiVote Presidential Poll June 6th, 2020

ActiVote Presidential Poll May 30th, 2020