Rokita leads in Indiana Attorney General Race

ActiVote’s October 5, 2024 Indiana Attorney General poll shows that Republican incumbent Todd Rokita leads his Democratic opponent Destiny Scott Wells by 6.2%. The poll was among 400 likely voters, has an average expected error of 4.9%, and was in the field between September 3, 2024 and October 5, 2024 with a median field date of September 19. 

Please note that in this poll the threshold of 5% for inclusion in the crosstabs for the unweighted sample for Black and Latino voters was not met, so that they are not separately reported in the crosstabs. They are part of the weighted overall result. For details on reporting in our crosstabs see answer 4 of our polling disclosures.

Scott Wells leads among suburban and urban voters, the elderly (65+), women, Democrats, low income voters and those with a 4-year college degree. 

Please note that Indiana does not register voters by party affiliation so that the inferred party affiliation from the voter file is much less accurate than in some other states, explaining why the candidates lose about 20% of those estimated to be affiliated with their party. These crosstab elements are therefore best ignored in this poll.

Political Spectrum

The following graph and table show the support for Rokita and Scott Wells among left, moderate left, center, moderate right, and right voters. These groups are defined by splitting the national electorate in 5 equal sized groups of 20% each. Please note that in the red state of Indiana, there are fewer left-leaning voters than the national average and more right-leaning voters.

Scott Wells gets 96% of her core constituency (the left and moderate left), while Rokita gets 88% of his core constituency (the right and moderate right). Scott Wells has a narrow lead among the centrists. Rokita’s overall lead is the result of having more right-leaning voters than left-leaning voters in red Indiana.

Comparisons

In 2020, U.S. Representative Todd Rokita beat his Democratic opponent the former Mayor of Evansville, Jonathan Weinzapfel by 16.6%. In 2016, Republican Curtis Hill beat his Democratic opponent Lorenzo Arredondo by 24.6%.

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