Democrats With Solid Lead in Generic Congressional Ballot
ActiVote’s June 29, 2026 Generic Congressional Ballot poll finds that the Democrats lead the Republicans by 5.2%. The poll was in the field between June 6 and June 28 (median field date of June 17). The poll was among 1000 likely midterm voters and has an average expected error of 3.1%.
The Republicans lead among rural voters, older voters (50+), men, registered Republicans, White voters, those with a graduate degree and the (moderate) right. Democrats lead or tie among all other groups.
Political Spectrum
The following graph shows the support for Democrats and Republicans among left, moderate left, center, moderate right, and right voters. These groups are defined by splitting the national electorate in 5 equal sized groups of 20% each
The left and moderate left are virtually unanimously (97%) supporting the Democrats, while the same is true for the right (97%) in their support for Republicans. The support for Republicans from the moderate right is at a slightly lower level (89%), while the Democrats have an 8% lead among centrists.
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 | 1000 LV | Unweighted | Weighted | Generic Democrat | Generic Republican |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National | ±3.1% MoE | 100% | 100% | 52.6% | 47.4% |
| Political Spectrum | Left | 29% | 20% | 99% | 1% |
| Moderate Left | 33% | 20% | 95% | 5% | |
| Center | 13% | 20% | 54% | 46% | |
| Moderate Right | 12% | 20% | 11% | 89% | |
| Right | 12% | 20% | 3% | 97% | |
| Region | rural | 43% | 35% | 43% | 57% |
| suburban | 31% | 31% | 53% | 47% | |
| urban | 26% | 34% | 63% | 37% | |
| Age | 18-29 | 28% | 14% | 62% | 38% |
| 30-49 | 40% | 27% | 61% | 39% | |
| 50-64 | 21% | 24% | 46% | 54% | |
| 65+ | 11% | 36% | 47% | 53% | |
| Gender | F | 33% | 53% | 59% | 41% |
| M | 67% | 47% | 45% | 55% | |
| Party | D | 49% | 38% | 93% | 7% |
| R | 27% | 35% | 3% | 97% | |
| I | 21% | 24% | 60% | 40% | |
| Ethnicity | White | 81% | 71% | 48% | 52% |
| Black | 8% | 10% | 71% | 29% | |
| Latino | 6% | 12% | 58% | 42% | |
| Income | Low | 25% | 22% | 53% | 47% |
| Middle | 30% | 29% | 57% | 43% | |
| High | 45% | 49% | 50% | 50% | |
| Education | HS | 26% | 25% | 51% | 49% |
| College | 64% | 60% | 55% | 45% | |
| Grad | 11% | 16% | 45% | 55% |