Busby Leads Triana in Texas Supreme Court Place 8 Race
ActiVote’s October 19, 2026 Texas Supreme Court Place 8 poll finds that Republican Brett Busby leads Democrat Gisela Triana by 15.6%. The poll was in the field between September 29 and October 19 (median field date of October 9). The poll was among 400 likely midterm voters and has an average expected error of 4.9%.
Busby leads among rural and suburban voters, voters aged 30 and older, men, White and Latino voters, voters at every income level and voters at every level of education. Triana leads among urban voters, voters under 30, women and Black voters. These group figures rest on subsamples for which the expected error is considerably larger than the 4.9% for the poll as a whole. Texas does not register voters by party, so we do not report a breakdown by party affiliation.
Political Spectrum
The following graph shows the support for Busby and Triana among left, moderate left, center, moderate right, and right voters. These groups are defined by splitting the Texas electorate in 5 equal sized groups of 20% each.
Busby holds his own side more firmly. He takes 99% of the right and 97% of the moderate right, while Triana takes 98% of the left and 74% of the moderate left. Busby also wins the center, by 66% to 34%.
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 | 400 LV | Unweighted | Weighted | Brett Busby | Gisela Triana |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National | ±4.9% MoE | 100% | 100% | 57.8% | 42.2% |
| Political Spectrum | Left | 42% | 20% | 2% | 98% |
| Moderate Left | 24% | 20% | 26% | 74% | |
| Center | 10% | 20% | 66% | 34% | |
| Moderate Right | 11% | 20% | 97% | 3% | |
| Right | 14% | 20% | 99% | 1% | |
| Region | rural | 28% | 30% | 71% | 29% |
| suburban | 29% | 27% | 56% | 44% | |
| urban | 43% | 42% | 49% | 51% | |
| Age | 18-29 | 28% | 17% | 49% | 51% |
| 30-49 | 33% | 29% | 57% | 43% | |
| 50-64 | 25% | 23% | 59% | 41% | |
| 65+ | 13% | 30% | 62% | 38% | |
| Gender | F | 45% | 53% | 46% | 54% |
| M | 55% | 47% | 71% | 29% | |
| Ethnicity | White | 65% | 60% | 63% | 37% |
| Black | 10% | 8% | 30% | 70% | |
| Latino | 23% | 27% | 52% | 48% | |
| Income | Low | 23% | 21% | 51% | 49% |
| Middle | 29% | 26% | 60% | 40% | |
| High | 48% | 53% | 59% | 41% | |
| Education | HS | 18% | 22% | 59% | 41% |
| College | 71% | 64% | 57% | 43% | |
| Grad | 11% | 14% | 59% | 41% |