Kyle Hawkins Leads Kristen Hawkins in Texas Supreme Court Place 7 Race
ActiVote’s October 19, 2026 Texas Supreme Court Place 7 poll finds that Republican Kyle Hawkins leads Democrat Kristen Hawkins by 7.6%. The poll was in the field between October 1 and October 19 (median field date of October 10). The poll was among 400 likely midterm voters and has an average expected error of 4.9%.
Kyle Hawkins leads among rural and suburban voters, voters aged 30 and older, men, White voters, voters on middle and high incomes, college-educated voters and graduate degree holders. Kristen Hawkins leads among urban voters, voters under 30, women, Black and Latino voters and voters on low incomes. Voters with no more than a high school education are evenly split. These group figures rest on subsamples for which the expected error is considerably larger than the 4.9% for the poll as a whole. Texas does not register voters by party, so we do not report a breakdown by party affiliation.
Political Spectrum
The following graph shows the support for Kyle Hawkins and Kristen Hawkins among left, moderate left, center, moderate right, and right voters. These groups are defined by splitting the Texas electorate in 5 equal sized groups of 20% each.
Kristen Hawkins takes 99% of the left and Kyle Hawkins 95% of the right, but Kyle Hawkins holds the moderate right more firmly, with 88% against Kristen Hawkins’ 77% of the moderate left. The race is decided in the center, where Kyle Hawkins leads by 63% to 37%.
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 | 400 LV | Unweighted | Weighted | Kyle Hawkins | Kristen Hawkins |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National | ±4.9% MoE | 100% | 100% | 53.8% | 46.2% |
| Political Spectrum | Left | 42% | 20% | 1% | 99% |
| Moderate Left | 23% | 20% | 23% | 77% | |
| Center | 9% | 20% | 63% | 37% | |
| Moderate Right | 11% | 20% | 88% | 12% | |
| Right | 14% | 20% | 95% | 5% | |
| Region | rural | 29% | 30% | 66% | 34% |
| suburban | 29% | 27% | 58% | 42% | |
| urban | 42% | 42% | 43% | 57% | |
| Age | 18-29 | 29% | 17% | 48% | 52% |
| 30-49 | 35% | 29% | 53% | 47% | |
| 50-64 | 25% | 23% | 61% | 39% | |
| 65+ | 12% | 30% | 52% | 48% | |
| Gender | F | 43% | 53% | 45% | 55% |
| M | 57% | 47% | 63% | 37% | |
| Ethnicity | White | 65% | 60% | 63% | 37% |
| Black | 10% | 8% | 31% | 69% | |
| Latino | 24% | 27% | 37% | 63% | |
| Income | Low | 21% | 21% | 43% | 57% |
| Middle | 32% | 26% | 54% | 46% | |
| High | 47% | 53% | 57% | 43% | |
| Education | HS | 17% | 22% | 50% | 50% |
| College | 72% | 64% | 54% | 46% | |
| Grad | 11% | 14% | 56% | 44% |
Every poll in this race
| Published | Hawkins | Hawkins | Gap | Sample | MoE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 19, 2026 | 53.8% | 46.2% | R+7.6% | 400 | ±4.9% |