Yeary Leads Riley in Texas Court of Criminal Appeals Place 4 Race
ActiVote’s October 19, 2026 Texas Court of Criminal Appeals Place 4 poll finds that Republican Kevin Patrick Yeary leads Democrat Audra Riley by 12.2%. The poll was in the field between September 29 and October 19 (median field date of October 9). The poll was among 400 likely midterm voters and has an average expected error of 4.9%.
Yeary leads among rural and suburban voters, voters aged 30 and older, men, White voters, voters on middle and high incomes and voters at every level of education. Riley leads among urban voters, voters under 30, women, Black and Latino voters and voters on low incomes. These group figures rest on subsamples for which the expected error is considerably larger than the 4.9% for the poll as a whole. Texas does not register voters by party, so we do not report a breakdown by party affiliation.
Political Spectrum
The following graph shows the support for Yeary and Riley among left, moderate left, center, moderate right, and right voters. These groups are defined by splitting the Texas electorate in 5 equal sized groups of 20% each.
Yeary holds his own side more firmly. Both candidates take 99% of their own wing, but Yeary takes 89% of the moderate right while Riley takes 72% of the moderate left. Yeary also wins the center, by 65% to 35%.
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 | 400 LV | Unweighted | Weighted | Kevin Patrick Yeary | Audra Riley |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National | ±4.9% MoE | 100% | 100% | 56.1% | 43.9% |
| Political Spectrum | Left | 43% | 20% | 1% | 99% |
| Moderate Left | 24% | 20% | 28% | 72% | |
| Center | 9% | 20% | 65% | 35% | |
| Moderate Right | 11% | 20% | 89% | 11% | |
| Right | 13% | 20% | 99% | 1% | |
| Region | rural | 29% | 30% | 69% | 31% |
| suburban | 30% | 27% | 57% | 43% | |
| urban | 41% | 42% | 46% | 54% | |
| Age | 18-29 | 28% | 17% | 43% | 57% |
| 30-49 | 36% | 29% | 54% | 46% | |
| 50-64 | 24% | 23% | 61% | 39% | |
| 65+ | 13% | 30% | 62% | 38% | |
| Gender | F | 44% | 53% | 49% | 51% |
| M | 56% | 47% | 64% | 36% | |
| Ethnicity | White | 65% | 60% | 66% | 34% |
| Black | 10% | 8% | 21% | 79% | |
| Latino | 22% | 27% | 49% | 51% | |
| Income | Low | 22% | 21% | 49% | 51% |
| Middle | 32% | 26% | 55% | 45% | |
| High | 45% | 53% | 59% | 41% | |
| Education | HS | 18% | 22% | 54% | 46% |
| College | 71% | 64% | 56% | 44% | |
| Grad | 11% | 14% | 58% | 42% |