Ossoff Leads Collins in Georgia Senate Race
ActiVote’s October 20, 2026 Georgia U.S. Senate poll finds that Democrat Jon Ossoff leads Republican Mike Collins by 8.0%. The poll was in the field between October 6 and October 20 (median field date of October 13). The poll was among 400 likely midterm voters and has an average expected error of 4.9%.
Ossoff leads among suburban and urban voters, voters under 65, women, Black voters, voters on low and high incomes, voters with no more than a high school education and college-educated voters. Collins leads among rural voters, voters aged 65 and older, White and Latino voters, voters on middle incomes and graduate degree holders. Men are evenly split. These group figures rest on subsamples for which the expected error is considerably larger than the 4.9% for the poll as a whole. Georgia does not register voters by party, so we do not report a breakdown by party affiliation.
Political Spectrum
The following graph shows the support for Ossoff and Collins among left, moderate left, center, moderate right, and right voters. These groups are defined by splitting the Georgia electorate in 5 equal sized groups of 20% each.
Ossoff holds his own side more firmly. He takes 99% of the left and 87% of the moderate left, while Collins takes 88% of the right and 78% of the moderate right. Collins narrowly leads in the center, by 53% to 47%, but Ossoff’s firmer hold on his own side is what puts him ahead.
Want to be included in our next poll? Check out the app!
Check out our polling page for our latest polls. For further details see our FAQs, polling methodology, AAPOR Transparency Initiative disclosures, and accuracy analysis.
 | 400 LV | Unweighted | Weighted | Jon Ossoff | Mike Collins |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National | ±4.9% MoE | 100% | 100% | 54.0% | 46.0% |
| Political Spectrum | Left | 47% | 20% | 99% | 1% |
| Moderate Left | 28% | 20% | 87% | 13% | |
| Center | 9% | 20% | 47% | 53% | |
| Moderate Right | 7% | 20% | 22% | 78% | |
| Right | 9% | 20% | 12% | 88% | |
| Region | rural | 34% | 38% | 35% | 65% |
| suburban | 48% | 43% | 66% | 34% | |
| urban | 19% | 19% | 64% | 36% | |
| Age | 18-29 | 29% | 15% | 65% | 35% |
| 30-49 | 32% | 29% | 53% | 47% | |
| 50-64 | 20% | 25% | 57% | 43% | |
| 65+ | 19% | 31% | 48% | 52% | |
| Gender | F | 49% | 54% | 57% | 43% |
| M | 51% | 46% | 50% | 50% | |
| Ethnicity | White | 55% | 54% | 31% | 69% |
| Black | 31% | 36% | 91% | 9% | |
| Latino | 8% | 5% | 35% | 65% | |
| Income | Low | 18% | 24% | 51% | 49% |
| Middle | 37% | 30% | 42% | 58% | |
| High | 45% | 46% | 63% | 37% | |
| Education | HS | 19% | 23% | 63% | 37% |
| College | 64% | 62% | 52% | 48% | |
| Grad | 17% | 14% | 49% | 51% |
Every poll in this race
| Published | Ossoff | Collins | Gap | Sample | MoE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 20, 2026 | 54.0% | 46.0% | D+8.0% | 400 | ±4.9% |