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Georgia · Insurance Commissioner · 2026

King Narrowly Leads Waites in Georgia Insurance Commissioner Race

October 24, 2026
John King
50.9%
John King (R)
Keisha Waites
49.1%
Keisha Waites (D)
R+1.8%
400 likely midterm voters · MoE ±4.9%

ActiVote’s October 24, 2026 Georgia Insurance Commissioner poll finds that Republican John King leads Democrat Keisha Waites by 1.8%. The poll was in the field between October 12 and October 24 (median field date of October 18). The poll was among 400 likely midterm voters and has an average expected error of 4.9%.

The headline result
50.9%
49.1%
John King Keisha Waites

King leads among rural voters, voters aged 18 to 29 and 65 and older, men, White voters, voters on middle and high incomes, college-educated voters and graduate degree holders. Waites leads among suburban and urban voters, voters aged 30 to 49, women, Black and Latino voters, voters on low incomes and voters with no more than a high school education. Voters aged 50 to 64 are tied. These group figures rest on subsamples for which the expected error is considerably larger than the 4.9% for the poll as a whole. Georgia does not register voters by party, so we do not report a breakdown by party affiliation.

Political Spectrum

The following graph shows the support for King and Waites among left, moderate left, center, moderate right, and right voters. These groups are defined by splitting the Georgia electorate in 5 equal sized groups of 20% each.

The crosstabs
Left
96%
Moderate Left
13%
87%
Center
63%
37%
Moderate Right
89%
11%
Right
88%
12%
John KingKeisha Waites

Waites holds her own side more firmly. She takes 96% of the left and 87% of the moderate left, while King takes 88% of the right and 89% of the moderate right. The race is decided in the center, where King leads by 63% to 37%.

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The full crosstab table
ActiVote · Georgia Insurance Commissioner · October 24, 2026
ActiVote 400 LV Unweighted Weighted John King Keisha Waites
Georgia ±4.9% MoE 100% 100% 50.9% 49.1%
Political Spectrum Left 45% 20% 4% 96%
Moderate Left 29% 20% 13% 87%
Center 12% 20% 63% 37%
Moderate Right 7% 20% 89% 11%
Right 7% 20% 88% 12%
Region rural 37% 38% 63% 37%
suburban 44% 43% 49% 51%
urban 19% 19% 31% 69%
Age 18-29 29% 15% 51% 49%
30-49 32% 29% 46% 54%
50-64 23% 25% 50% 50%
65+ 16% 31% 57% 43%
Gender F 54% 54% 48% 52%
M 46% 46% 54% 46%
Ethnicity White 55% 54% 71% 29%
Black 33% 36% 26% 74%
Latino 8% 5% 36% 64%
Income Low 18% 24% 23% 77%
Middle 38% 30% 62% 38%
High 44% 46% 58% 42%
Education HS 19% 23% 33% 67%
College 65% 62% 54% 46%
Grad 16% 14% 67% 33%

Every poll in this race

Published KingWaites Gap Sample MoE
October 24, 2026 50.9% 49.1% R+1.8% 400 ±4.9%
Methodology. 400 likely midterm voters in Georgia. Responses weighted by Demographics and Spectrum. Average expected error ±4.9%. See Why trust our polls? for the methodology, disclosures and accuracy record.