Uthmeier Leads Rodriguez in Florida Attorney General Race
ActiVote’s October 23, 2026 Florida Attorney General poll finds that Republican James Uthmeier leads Democrat Jose Rodriguez by 11.6%. The poll was in the field between October 11 and October 23 (median field date of October 17). The poll was among 400 likely midterm voters and has an average expected error of 4.9%.
Uthmeier leads among rural and suburban voters, voters aged 30 and older, men, White voters, voters on middle and high incomes, and voters with a college or graduate degree. Rodriguez leads among urban voters, voters under 30, Black and Latino voters, and voters on low incomes, and he narrowly leads among women, 51% to 49%. Voters with a high school education are tied at 50% each. These group figures rest on subsamples for which the expected error is considerably larger than the 4.9% for the poll as a whole.
Both candidates hold their own party: Uthmeier takes 91% of Republicans and Rodriguez 84% of Democrats. Independents favor Rodriguez by 60% to 40%, but Republicans make up a larger share of the likely electorate in this poll than Democrats (45% against 32%).
Political Spectrum
The following graph shows the support for Uthmeier and Rodriguez among left, moderate left, center, moderate right, and right voters. These groups are defined by splitting the Florida electorate in 5 equal sized groups of 20% each.
Uthmeier holds his side of the spectrum more firmly than Rodriguez holds his. Uthmeier takes 94% of the right and 90% of the moderate right, while Rodriguez takes 98% of the left but only 71% of the moderate left. On top of that, Uthmeier wins the center by 65% to 35%.
Want to be included in our next poll? Check out the app!
Check out our polling page for our latest polls. For further details see our FAQs, polling methodology, AAPOR Transparency Initiative disclosures, and accuracy analysis.
 | 400 LV | Unweighted | Weighted | James Uthmeier | Jose Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florida | ±4.9% MoE | 100% | 100% | 55.8% | 44.2% |
| Political Spectrum | Left | 32% | 20% | 2% | 98% |
| Moderate Left | 27% | 20% | 29% | 71% | |
| Center | 12% | 20% | 65% | 35% | |
| Moderate Right | 13% | 20% | 90% | 10% | |
| Right | 15% | 20% | 94% | 6% | |
| Region | rural | 18% | 19% | 63% | 37% |
| suburban | 36% | 39% | 61% | 39% | |
| urban | 46% | 42% | 47% | 53% | |
| Age | 18-29 | 22% | 12% | 45% | 55% |
| 30-49 | 32% | 24% | 55% | 45% | |
| 50-64 | 29% | 24% | 61% | 39% | |
| 65+ | 17% | 40% | 56% | 44% | |
| Gender | F | 41% | 54% | 49% | 51% |
| M | 59% | 46% | 64% | 36% | |
| Party | D | 46% | 32% | 16% | 84% |
| R | 30% | 45% | 91% | 9% | |
| I | 22% | 22% | 40% | 60% | |
| Ethnicity | White | 52% | 60% | 62% | 38% |
| Black | 16% | 14% | 45% | 55% | |
| Latino | 29% | 22% | 45% | 55% | |
| Income | Low | 35% | 25% | 47% | 53% |
| Middle | 26% | 29% | 57% | 43% | |
| High | 39% | 46% | 60% | 40% | |
| Education | HS | 16% | 24% | 50% | 50% |
| College | 74% | 62% | 56% | 44% | |
| Grad | 10% | 14% | 62% | 38% |
Every poll in this race
| Published | Uthmeier | Rodriguez | Gap | Sample | MoE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 23, 2026 | 55.8% | 44.2% | R+11.6% | 400 | ±4.9% |