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Cohen Leads Morgan in California Controller Race

October 22, 2026
Malia Cohen
63.2%
Malia Cohen (D)
Herb Morgan
36.8%
Herb Morgan (R)
D+26.4%
400 likely midterm voters · MoE ±4.9%

ActiVote’s October 22, 2026 California Controller poll finds that Democrat Malia Cohen leads Republican Herb Morgan by 26.4%. The poll was in the field between October 4 and October 22 (median field date of October 13). The poll was among 400 likely midterm voters and has an average expected error of 4.9%.

The headline result
63.2%
36.8%
Malia Cohen Herb Morgan

Cohen leads among suburban and urban voters, voters under 50 and aged 65 and older, women and men, White and Latino voters, and at every level of income and education. Morgan leads among rural voters and voters aged 50 to 64. These group figures rest on subsamples for which the expected error is considerably larger than the 4.9% for the poll as a whole.

Both candidates hold their own party: Cohen takes 92% of Democrats and Morgan 93% of Republicans. Independents favor Cohen by 72% to 28%, and Democrats make up a much larger share of the likely electorate in this poll than Republicans (48% against 28%).

Political Spectrum

The following graph shows the support for Cohen and Morgan among left, moderate left, center, moderate right, and right voters. These groups are defined by splitting the California electorate in 5 equal sized groups of 20% each.

The crosstabs
Left
100%
Moderate Left
94%
Center
70%
30%
Moderate Right
37%
63%
Right
15%
85%
Malia CohenHerb Morgan

Cohen holds her side of the spectrum more firmly than Morgan holds his. Cohen wins the left unanimously (100%) and takes 94% of the moderate left, while Morgan takes 85% of the right and 63% of the moderate right. On top of that, Cohen wins the center by 70% to 30%.

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The full crosstab table
ActiVote · California Controller · October 22, 2026
ActiVote 400 LV Unweighted Weighted Malia Cohen Herb Morgan
California ±4.9% MoE 100% 100% 63.2% 36.8%
Political Spectrum Left 24% 20% 100% 0%
Moderate Left 27% 20% 94% 6%
Center 19% 20% 70% 30%
Moderate Right 13% 20% 37% 63%
Right 16% 20% 15% 85%
Region rural 19% 17% 46% 54%
suburban 22% 21% 54% 46%
urban 59% 62% 71% 29%
Age 18-29 25% 16% 74% 26%
30-49 37% 29% 70% 30%
50-64 22% 22% 48% 52%
65+ 17% 33% 62% 38%
Gender F 38% 53% 64% 36%
M 62% 47% 62% 38%
Party D 57% 48% 92% 8%
R 22% 28% 7% 93%
I 12% 18% 72% 28%
Ethnicity White 67% 51% 54% 46%
Latino 24% 30% 68% 32%
Income Low 26% 17% 69% 31%
Middle 21% 29% 67% 33%
High 53% 54% 59% 41%
Education HS 19% 21% 56% 44%
College 70% 62% 63% 37%
Grad 10% 17% 74% 26%
Methodology. 400 likely midterm voters in California. Responses weighted by Demographics and Spectrum. Average expected error ±4.9%. See Why trust our polls? for the methodology, disclosures and accuracy record.