Ferguson vs. Reichert · October 30, 2024
Ferguson Solidifies lead in Washington
ActiVote’s October 30, 2024 Washington Governor poll shows that the Democratic candidate Bob Ferguson is ahead of his Republican opponent Dave Reichert by 17.2%.
The poll was among 400 likely voters, has an average expected error of 4.9%, and was in the field between October 3, 2024 and October 29, 2024 with a median field date of October 16.
Reichert leads among Republicans. Ferguson leads all other categories.
Political Spectrum
The crosstabs below show the support for Ferguson and Reichert among left, moderate left, center, moderate right, and right voters. These groups are defined by splitting the national electorate in 5 equal sized groups of 20% each. Please note that in the blue state of Washington, there are more left-leaning voters than the national average and fewer right-leaning voters.
Ferguson has support from the left and moderate left completely locked up: 96% support him. Reichert has the full support of the right and moderate right (91%). Centrists lean towards Reichtert.
Comparisons
In the 2020 Washington Governor election, Democratic incumbent Jay Inslee beat his Republican challenger Loren Culp by 13.4%. In the 2016 Washington Governor election, incumbent Jay Inslee beat his Republican challenger Bill Bryant by 8.8%.
Crosstabs
Weighted results by demographic group · October 30, 2024
The full crosstab table
 | 400 LV | Unweighted | Weighted | Bob Ferguson | Dave Reichert |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National | ±4.9% MoE | 100% | 100% | 58.6% | 41.4% |
| Political Spectrum | Left | 32% | 27% | 99% | 1% |
| Moderate Left | 26% | 22% | 94% | 6% | |
| Center | 17% | 17% | 44% | 56% | |
| Moderate Right | 12% | 15% | 17% | 83% | |
| Right | 13% | 18% | 0% | 100% | |
| Region | rural | 32% | 32% | 54% | 46% |
| suburban | 27% | 29% | 55% | 45% | |
| urban | 41% | 39% | 66% | 34% | |
| Age | 18-29 | 26% | 15% | 65% | 35% |
| 30-49 | 37% | 33% | 64% | 36% | |
| 50-64 | 28% | 24% | 54% | 46% | |
| 65+ | 10% | 28% | 53% | 47% | |
| Gender | F | 30% | 52% | 65% | 35% |
| M | 70% | 48% | 52% | 48% | |
| Party | D | 65% | 53% | 85% | 15% |
| R | 20% | 31% | 12% | 88% | |
| I | 14% | 16% | 60% | 40% | |
| Ethnicity | White | 89% | 81% | 56% | 44% |
| Latino | 6% | 9% | 57% | 43% | |
| Income | Low | 11% | 12% | 62% | 38% |
| Middle | 42% | 39% | 54% | 46% | |
| High | 47% | 49% | 61% | 39% | |
| Education | HS | 29% | 27% | 56% | 44% |
| Some C | 11% | 28% | 53% | 47% | |
| BSC+ | 61% | 46% | 64% | 36% |