Brown vs. Serrano · October 30, 2024
Democrats Lead in State-Level Washington Races
ActiVote’s October 30, 2024 Washington state-wide polls finds that Democrats lead by double-digits in the four polled races: Lt. Governor, Secretary of State, Attorney General and Treasurer.
The polls were in the field between October 3 and October 29 (median field date of October 16). The polls were among 400 likely presidential election voters and have an average expected error of 4.9%.
Overview
In 2020, Democrat Denny Heck beat his fellow-Democrat Marko Liias by 12.1% in his race for Lt. Governor.
In 2022, Democrat Steve Hobbs beat independent opponent Julie Anderson in a special election for Secretary of State by 4.0%.
In 2020, Democrat Bob Ferguson beat his Republican opponent Matt Larkin by 12.9% in his race for Attorney General.
In 2020, Democrat Mike Pellicciotti beat his Republican opponent Duane Davidson by 6.9% in his race for Treasurer.
Crosstabs
Weighted results by demographic group · October 30, 2024
The full crosstab table
 | 400 LV | Unweighted | Weighted | Nick Brown | Pete Serrano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National | ±4.9% MoE | 100% | 100% | 57.1% | 42.9% |
| Political Spectrum | Left | 34% | 27% | 99% | 1% |
| Moderate Left | 27% | 22% | 89% | 11% | |
| Center | 16% | 17% | 43% | 57% | |
| Moderate Right | 11% | 15% | 15% | 85% | |
| Right | 13% | 18% | 0% | 100% | |
| Region | rural | 33% | 32% | 51% | 49% |
| suburban | 27% | 29% | 50% | 50% | |
| urban | 40% | 39% | 67% | 33% | |
| Age | 18-29 | 27% | 15% | 66% | 34% |
| 30-49 | 36% | 33% | 59% | 41% | |
| 50-64 | 27% | 24% | 52% | 48% | |
| 65+ | 11% | 28% | 55% | 45% | |
| Gender | F | 30% | 52% | 63% | 37% |
| M | 70% | 48% | 51% | 49% | |
| Party | D | 66% | 53% | 83% | 17% |
| R | 19% | 31% | 14% | 86% | |
| I | 15% | 16% | 53% | 47% | |
| Ethnicity | White | 89% | 80% | 52% | 48% |
| Black | 1% | 1% | 100% | 0% | |
| Latino | 6% | 9% | 71% | 29% | |
| Income | Low | 11% | 12% | 65% | 35% |
| Middle | 41% | 39% | 53% | 47% | |
| High | 48% | 49% | 58% | 42% | |
| Education | HS | 25% | 27% | 68% | 32% |
| Some C | 13% | 28% | 37% | 63% | |
| BSC+ | 62% | 46% | 63% | 37% |