Trump vs. Harris · October 31, 2024
Trump Leads in Utah
ActiVote’s October 31, 2024 Utah Presidential poll shows that former President Trump leads Vice President Harris by 20.0%. The poll was among 400 likely voters, has an average expected error of 4.9%, and was in the field between October 7, 2024 and October 30, 2024 with a median field date of October 19.
Harris leads among those 30-49 years of age, women, Democrats and low income voters. Trump leads among all other categories.
Political Spectrum
The crosstabs below show the support for Harris and Trump among left, moderate left, center, moderate right, and right voters. These groups are defined by splitting the national electorate in 5 equal sized groups of 20% each. Please note that in the red state of Utah, there are fewer left-leaning voters than the national average and more right-leaning voters.
Harris takes all (100%) of her core constituency (the left and moderate left), while Trump takes 92% of his core constituency (the right and moderate right). Trump has a 26% lead among centrists.
Comparisons
In 2020, Trump beat Biden in Utah by 20.5% while in 2016 Trump beat Clinton by 18.1%.
Crosstabs
Weighted results by demographic group · October 31, 2024
The full crosstab table
 | 400 LV | Unweighted | Weighted | Donald Trump | Kamala Harris |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National | ±4.9% MoE | 100% | 100% | 60.0% | 40.0% |
| Political Spectrum | Left | 24% | 16% | 0% | 100% |
| Moderate Left | 25% | 13% | 1% | 99% | |
| Center | 18% | 21% | 63% | 37% | |
| Moderate Right | 13% | 24% | 90% | 10% | |
| Right | 20% | 26% | 94% | 6% | |
| Region | rural | 22% | 27% | 60% | 40% |
| suburban | 42% | 44% | 66% | 34% | |
| urban | 35% | 30% | 52% | 48% | |
| Age | 18-29 | 27% | 19% | 65% | 35% |
| 30-49 | 44% | 34% | 45% | 55% | |
| 50-64 | 18% | 22% | 59% | 41% | |
| 65+ | 10% | 26% | 78% | 22% | |
| Gender | F | 33% | 52% | 49% | 51% |
| M | 67% | 48% | 72% | 28% | |
| Party | D | 15% | 14% | 0% | 100% |
| R | 48% | 55% | 78% | 22% | |
| I | 26% | 26% | 52% | 48% | |
| Ethnicity | White | 93% | 91% | 61% | 39% |
| Latino | 4% | 8% | 60% | 40% | |
| Income | Low | 11% | 11% | 40% | 60% |
| Middle | 45% | 45% | 64% | 36% | |
| High | 44% | 44% | 61% | 39% | |
| Education | HS | 21% | 26% | 62% | 38% |
| Some C | 19% | 28% | 51% | 49% | |
| BSC+ | 60% | 46% | 64% | 36% |