Trump vs. Harris · October 18, 2024
Trump has large lead in South Carolina
ActiVote’s October 18, 2024 South Carolina Presidential poll shows that former President Trump leads Vice President Harris by 16.8%. The poll was among 400 likely voters, has an average expected error of 4.9%, and was in the field between September 9, 2024 and October 17, 2024 with a median field date of September 28.
Trump leads or ties among all categories of voters, except Democrats and Black voters.
Political Spectrum
The crosstabs below show the support for Harris and Trump among left, moderate left, center, moderate right, and right voters. These groups are defined by splitting the national electorate in 5 equal sized groups of 20% each. Please note that in the red state of South Carolina, there are more right-leaning voters than the national average and fewer left-leaning voters.
Harris gets 93% of her core constituents (left and moderate left), while Trump gets 94% of his: the right and moderate right. Trump also leads by a small margin among the centrists. His overall lead is the result of there being more right leaning voters than left leaning voters in the red state of South Carolina.
Comparisons
In 2020, Trump beat Biden in South Carolina by 11.7% while in 2016 Trump beat Clinton by 14.3%.
Crosstabs
Weighted results by demographic group · October 18, 2024
The full crosstab table
 | 400 LV | Unweighted | Weighted | Donald Trump | Kamala Harris |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National | ±4.9% MoE | 100% | 100% | 58.4% | 41.6% |
| Political Spectrum | Left | 19% | 16% | 3% | 97% |
| Moderate Left | 26% | 17% | 11% | 89% | |
| Center | 22% | 17% | 52% | 48% | |
| Moderate Right | 16% | 24% | 90% | 10% | |
| Right | 17% | 27% | 98% | 2% | |
| Region | rural | 45% | 47% | 63% | 37% |
| suburban | 51% | 51% | 55% | 45% | |
| urban | 5% | 2% | 37% | 63% | |
| Age | 18-29 | 25% | 12% | 59% | 41% |
| 30-49 | 37% | 28% | 58% | 42% | |
| 50-64 | 24% | 26% | 69% | 31% | |
| 65+ | 15% | 34% | 51% | 49% | |
| Gender | F | 43% | 55% | 50% | 50% |
| M | 57% | 45% | 69% | 31% | |
| Party | D | 41% | 39% | 29% | 71% |
| R | 52% | 55% | 79% | 21% | |
| I | 8% | 6% | 60% | 40% | |
| Ethnicity | White | 81% | 69% | 77% | 23% |
| Black | 11% | 26% | 9% | 91% | |
| Latino | 6% | 3% | 69% | 31% | |
| Income | Low | 17% | 25% | 61% | 39% |
| Middle | 39% | 46% | 56% | 44% | |
| High | 44% | 29% | 61% | 39% | |
| Education | HS | 24% | 33% | 56% | 44% |
| Some C | 15% | 24% | 57% | 43% | |
| BSC+ | 61% | 43% | 61% | 39% |