South Carolina · President · 2024
Trump vs. Harris
58.5%
Donald Trump (R)
41.5%
Kamala Harris (D)
R+17.0%
Final poll · published October 30, 2024 · 400 likely voters · MoE ±4.9%
Election result
R+17.9% Donald Trump won
Our final poll (R+17.0%) · error:
D+0.9%
How the race moved (2 polls)
Crosstabs
Final poll, weighted results by demographic group · October 30, 2024
Left
98%
Moderate Left
11%
89%
Center
51%
49%
Moderate Right
90%
10%
Right
98%
Donald TrumpKamala Harris
The full crosstab table
 | 400 LV | Unweighted | Weighted | Donald Trump | Kamala Harris |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National | ±4.9% MoE | 100% | 100% | 58.5% | 41.5% |
| Political Spectrum | Left | 18% | 16% | 2% | 98% |
| Moderate Left | 25% | 17% | 11% | 89% | |
| Center | 23% | 17% | 51% | 49% | |
| Moderate Right | 18% | 24% | 90% | 10% | |
| Right | 17% | 27% | 98% | 2% | |
| Region | rural | 43% | 47% | 65% | 35% |
| suburban | 52% | 51% | 53% | 47% | |
| urban | 4% | 2% | 45% | 55% | |
| Age | 18-29 | 21% | 12% | 53% | 47% |
| 30-49 | 36% | 28% | 56% | 44% | |
| 50-64 | 27% | 26% | 66% | 34% | |
| 65+ | 15% | 34% | 57% | 43% | |
| Gender | F | 42% | 55% | 52% | 48% |
| M | 58% | 45% | 67% | 33% | |
| Party | D | 42% | 39% | 26% | 74% |
| R | 50% | 55% | 82% | 18% | |
| I | 8% | 6% | 60% | 40% | |
| Ethnicity | White | 74% | 69% | 69% | 31% |
| Black | 17% | 26% | 29% | 71% | |
| Latino | 5% | 3% | 55% | 45% | |
| Income | Low | 19% | 25% | 60% | 40% |
| Middle | 42% | 46% | 57% | 43% | |
| High | 39% | 29% | 60% | 40% | |
| Education | HS | 24% | 33% | 55% | 45% |
| Some C | 16% | 24% | 60% | 40% | |
| BSC+ | 59% | 43% | 61% | 39% |
Every poll in this race
| Published | Trump | Harris | Gap | Sample | MoE | Result | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 30, 2024 | 58.5% | 41.5% | R+17.0% | 400 | ±4.9% | R+17.9% | D+0.9% |
| October 18, 2024 | 58.4% | 41.6% | R+16.8% | 400 | ±4.9% | R+17.9% | D+1.1% |
Methodology.
Latest poll: 400 likely voters in South Carolina.
Responses weighted by Demographics and Spectrum. Average expected error ±4.9%. See
Why trust our polls?
for the methodology, disclosures and accuracy record.