Trump vs. Harris · October 19, 2024
Trump Has Large Lead in Oklahoma
ActiVote’s October 20, 2024 Oklahoma Presidential poll shows that former President Trump leads Vice President Harris by 32.2%. The poll was among 400 likely voters, has an average expected error of 4.9%, and was in the field between September 13, 2024 and October 19, 2024 with a median field date of October 1.
Harris leads among the young (18-29), Democrats and Independents. Trump leads among all other groups.
Political Spectrum
The crosstabs below show the support for Harris and Trump among left, moderate left, center, moderate right, and right voters. These groups are defined by splitting the national electorate in 5 equal sized groups of 20% each. Please note that in the red state of Oklahoma there are far more right-leaning voters than the national average and far fewer left-leaning voters.
Harris takes almost all (92%) of her core constituency (the left and moderate left), while Trump takes 95% of his core constituency (the right and moderate right). Trump also leads among centrists.
Comparisons
In 2020, Trump beat Biden in Oklahoma by 33.1% while in 2016 Trump beat Clinton by 36.4%.
Crosstabs
Weighted results by demographic group · October 19, 2024
The full crosstab table
 | 400 LV | Unweighted | Weighted | Donald Trump | Kamala Harris |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National | ±4.9% MoE | 100% | 100% | 66.1% | 33.9% |
| Political Spectrum | Left | 22% | 16% | 2% | 98% |
| Moderate Left | 22% | 12% | 14% | 86% | |
| Center | 17% | 20% | 73% | 27% | |
| Moderate Right | 17% | 25% | 94% | 6% | |
| Right | 22% | 27% | 96% | 4% | |
| Region | rural | 55% | 57% | 75% | 25% |
| suburban | 30% | 29% | 53% | 47% | |
| urban | 16% | 14% | 59% | 41% | |
| Age | 18-29 | 27% | 14% | 48% | 52% |
| 30-49 | 37% | 29% | 63% | 37% | |
| 50-64 | 23% | 25% | 69% | 31% | |
| 65+ | 13% | 32% | 75% | 25% | |
| Gender | F | 41% | 54% | 61% | 39% |
| M | 59% | 46% | 72% | 28% | |
| Party | D | 40% | 28% | 16% | 84% |
| R | 33% | 56% | 97% | 3% | |
| I | 24% | 15% | 45% | 55% | |
| Ethnicity | White | 87% | 87% | 70% | 30% |
| Black | 5% | 4% | 10% | 90% | |
| Latino | 4% | 5% | 53% | 47% | |
| Income | Low | 26% | 25% | 66% | 34% |
| Middle | 37% | 47% | 66% | 34% | |
| High | 37% | 28% | 66% | 34% | |
| Education | HS | 30% | 34% | 65% | 35% |
| Some C | 18% | 25% | 59% | 41% | |
| BSC+ | 52% | 41% | 71% | 29% |