Oklahoma · President · 2024
Trump vs. Harris
66.8%
Donald Trump (R)
33.2%
Kamala Harris (D)
R+33.6%
Final poll · published October 30, 2024 · 400 likely voters · MoE ±4.9%
Election result
R+34.3% Donald Trump won
Our final poll (R+33.6%) · error:
D+0.7%
How the race moved (2 polls)
Crosstabs
Final poll, weighted results by demographic group · October 30, 2024
Left
97%
Moderate Left
13%
87%
Center
69%
31%
Moderate Right
97%
Right
98%
Donald TrumpKamala Harris
The full crosstab table
 | 400 LV | Unweighted | Weighted | Donald Trump | Kamala Harris |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National | ±4.9% MoE | 100% | 100% | 66.8% | 33.2% |
| Political Spectrum | Left | 21% | 16% | 3% | 97% |
| Moderate Left | 23% | 12% | 13% | 87% | |
| Center | 18% | 20% | 69% | 31% | |
| Moderate Right | 17% | 25% | 97% | 3% | |
| Right | 21% | 27% | 98% | 2% | |
| Region | rural | 52% | 57% | 75% | 25% |
| suburban | 32% | 29% | 55% | 45% | |
| urban | 16% | 14% | 58% | 42% | |
| Age | 18-29 | 23% | 14% | 59% | 41% |
| 30-49 | 37% | 29% | 71% | 29% | |
| 50-64 | 26% | 25% | 70% | 30% | |
| 65+ | 13% | 32% | 64% | 36% | |
| Gender | F | 41% | 54% | 62% | 38% |
| M | 59% | 46% | 72% | 28% | |
| Party | D | 38% | 28% | 15% | 85% |
| R | 35% | 56% | 97% | 3% | |
| I | 24% | 15% | 52% | 48% | |
| Ethnicity | White | 87% | 87% | 71% | 29% |
| Black | 5% | 4% | 12% | 88% | |
| Latino | 5% | 5% | 44% | 56% | |
| Income | Low | 26% | 25% | 59% | 41% |
| Middle | 38% | 47% | 70% | 30% | |
| High | 36% | 28% | 68% | 32% | |
| Education | HS | 34% | 34% | 67% | 33% |
| Some C | 17% | 25% | 62% | 38% | |
| BSC+ | 50% | 41% | 69% | 31% |
Every poll in this race
| Published | Trump | Harris | Gap | Sample | MoE | Result | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 30, 2024 | 66.8% | 33.2% | R+33.6% | 400 | ±4.9% | R+34.3% | D+0.7% |
| October 19, 2024 | 66.1% | 33.9% | R+32.2% | 400 | ±4.9% | R+34.3% | D+2.1% |
Methodology.
Latest poll: 400 likely voters in Oklahoma.
Responses weighted by Demographics and Spectrum. Average expected error ±4.9%. See
Why trust our polls?
for the methodology, disclosures and accuracy record.