Moreno vs. Brown · August 12, 2024
Sherrod Brown Leads in Ohio
ActiVote’s August 12, 2024 Ohio U.S. Senate poll shows that Democratic incumbent Senator Sherrod Brown leads his Republican challenger Bernie Moreno by 5.0%.
The poll was among 400 likely voters, has an average expected error of 4.9%, and was in the field between July 20, 2024 and August 12, 2024 with a median field date of July 31.
Moreno leads among rural and suburban voters, while Brown has a large lead among urban voters. Brown leads all age groups, except those 65 and older. Brown leads among women, while Moreno leads among men. While Brown dominates among Democrats, his 25% share among Republicans is what propels him ahead of Moreno, who has the lead among independents. Moreno has a small lead among White voters, while Brown gets over 9 out of 10 Black voters. Moreno further leads among those with a high income and narrowly leads among those with High School or less in education.
Political Spectrum
The crosstabs below show the support for Brown and Moreno among left, moderate left, center, moderate right, and right voters. These groups are defined by splitting the national electorate in 5 equal sized groups of 20% each. Please note that in the somewhat red state of Ohio, there are more right-leaning voters than the national average and fewer left-leaning voters.
Brown dominates among left leaning voters (96%) while Moreno gets only 80% of his core constituency on the right. Brown also has a significant lead in the center.
Crosstabs
Weighted results by demographic group · August 12, 2024
The full crosstab table
 | 400 LV | Unweighted | Weighted | Sherrod Brown | Bernie Moreno |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National | ±4.9% MoE | 100% | 100% | 52.5% | 47.5% |
| Political Spectrum | Left | 29% | 14% | 98% | 2% |
| Moderate Left | 28% | 20% | 94% | 6% | |
| Center | 15% | 20% | 58% | 42% | |
| Moderate Right | 11% | 22% | 24% | 76% | |
| Right | 17% | 24% | 15% | 85% | |
| Region | rural | 26% | 31% | 44% | 56% |
| suburban | 46% | 46% | 49% | 51% | |
| urban | 28% | 23% | 70% | 30% | |
| Age | 18-29 | 37% | 13% | 59% | 41% |
| 30-49 | 36% | 29% | 56% | 44% | |
| 50-64 | 18% | 26% | 51% | 49% | |
| 65+ | 9% | 32% | 48% | 52% | |
| Gender | F | 26% | 53% | 57% | 43% |
| M | 74% | 47% | 48% | 52% | |
| Party | D | 40% | 34% | 91% | 9% |
| R | 24% | 37% | 25% | 75% | |
| I | 35% | 29% | 42% | 58% | |
| Ethnicity | White | 92% | 85% | 47% | 53% |
| Black | 5% | 10% | 92% | 8% | |
| Latino | 2% | 3% | 46% | 54% | |
| Income | Low | 22% | 23% | 60% | 40% |
| Middle | 40% | 45% | 54% | 46% | |
| High | 38% | 32% | 45% | 55% | |
| Education | HS | 21% | 35% | 49% | 51% |
| Some C | 19% | 21% | 51% | 49% | |
| BSC+ | 60% | 44% | 56% | 44% |