Ohio · U.S. Senate · 2024
Moreno vs. Brown
51.0%
Bernie Moreno (R)
49.0%
Sherrod Brown (D)
R+2.0%
Final poll · published October 29, 2024 · 400 likely voters · MoE ±4.9%
Election result
R+3.6% Bernie Moreno won
Our final poll (R+2.0%) · error:
D+1.6%
How the race moved (4 polls)
Crosstabs
Final poll, weighted results by demographic group · October 29, 2024
Left
97%
Moderate Left
93%
Center
47%
53%
Moderate Right
84%
16%
Right
96%
Bernie MorenoSherrod Brown
The full crosstab table
 | 400 LV | Unweighted | Weighted | Bernie Moreno | Sherrod Brown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National | ±4.9% MoE | 100% | 100% | 51.0% | 49.0% |
| Political Spectrum | Left | 28% | 19% | 3% | 97% |
| Moderate Left | 28% | 17% | 7% | 93% | |
| Center | 20% | 18% | 47% | 53% | |
| Moderate Right | 12% | 19% | 84% | 16% | |
| Right | 12% | 26% | 96% | 4% | |
| Region | rural | 26% | 31% | 63% | 37% |
| suburban | 49% | 46% | 50% | 50% | |
| urban | 26% | 23% | 37% | 63% | |
| Age | 18-29 | 28% | 13% | 28% | 72% |
| 30-49 | 39% | 29% | 56% | 44% | |
| 50-64 | 22% | 26% | 59% | 41% | |
| 65+ | 11% | 32% | 49% | 51% | |
| Gender | F | 30% | 53% | 49% | 51% |
| M | 70% | 47% | 53% | 47% | |
| Party | D | 45% | 34% | 6% | 94% |
| R | 32% | 37% | 84% | 16% | |
| I | 23% | 29% | 62% | 38% | |
| Ethnicity | White | 88% | 83% | 56% | 44% |
| Black | 6% | 10% | 6% | 94% | |
| Latino | 3% | 3% | 22% | 78% | |
| Income | Low | 25% | 23% | 45% | 55% |
| Middle | 35% | 45% | 54% | 46% | |
| High | 40% | 32% | 51% | 49% | |
| Education | HS | 30% | 35% | 57% | 43% |
| Some C | 12% | 21% | 51% | 49% | |
| BSC+ | 58% | 44% | 46% | 54% |
Every poll in this race
| Published | Moreno | Brown | Gap | Sample | MoE | Result | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 29, 2024 | 51.0% | 49.0% | R+2.0% | 400 | ±4.9% | R+3.6% | D+1.6% |
| October 21, 2024 | 51.9% | 48.1% | R+3.8% | 400 | ±4.9% | R+3.6% | R+0.2% |
| September 22, 2024 | 51.1% | 48.9% | R+2.2% | 400 | ±4.9% | R+3.6% | D+1.4% |
| August 12, 2024 | 47.5% | 52.5% | D+5.0% | 400 | ±4.9% | R+3.6% | D+8.6% |
Methodology.
Latest poll: 400 likely voters in Ohio.
Responses weighted by Demographics and Spectrum. Average expected error ±4.9%. See
Why trust our polls?
for the methodology, disclosures and accuracy record.