New Jersey · President · 2024
Harris vs. Trump
56.9%
Kamala Harris (D)
43.1%
Donald Trump (R)
D+13.8%
Final poll · published October 29, 2024 · 400 likely voters · MoE ±4.9%
Election result
D+5.9% Kamala Harris won
Our final poll (D+13.8%) · error:
D+7.9%
How the race moved (2 polls)
Crosstabs
Final poll, weighted results by demographic group · October 29, 2024
Left
99%
Moderate Left
94%
Center
48%
52%
Moderate Right
92%
Right
100%
Donald TrumpKamala Harris
The full crosstab table
 | 400 LV | Unweighted | Weighted | Donald Trump | Kamala Harris |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National | ±4.9% MoE | 100% | 100% | 43.1% | 56.9% |
| Political Spectrum | Left | 23% | 25% | 1% | 99% |
| Moderate Left | 24% | 22% | 6% | 94% | |
| Center | 21% | 20% | 48% | 52% | |
| Moderate Right | 15% | 15% | 92% | 8% | |
| Right | 16% | 18% | 100% | 0% | |
| Region | rural | 10% | 7% | 53% | 47% |
| suburban | 47% | 44% | 50% | 50% | |
| urban | 42% | 49% | 35% | 65% | |
| Age | 18-29 | 25% | 15% | 38% | 62% |
| 30-49 | 40% | 29% | 34% | 66% | |
| 50-64 | 21% | 27% | 44% | 56% | |
| 65+ | 14% | 29% | 54% | 46% | |
| Gender | F | 32% | 54% | 33% | 67% |
| M | 68% | 46% | 54% | 46% | |
| Party | D | 48% | 41% | 9% | 91% |
| R | 32% | 26% | 91% | 9% | |
| I | 17% | 32% | 46% | 54% | |
| Ethnicity | White | 69% | 63% | 51% | 49% |
| Black | 7% | 10% | 0% | 100% | |
| Latino | 16% | 16% | 44% | 56% | |
| Income | Low | 7% | 14% | 28% | 72% |
| Middle | 30% | 30% | 44% | 56% | |
| High | 63% | 57% | 46% | 54% | |
| Education | HS | 17% | 29% | 56% | 44% |
| Some C | 10% | 18% | 19% | 81% | |
| BSC+ | 73% | 53% | 44% | 56% |
Every poll in this race
| Published | Trump | Harris | Gap | Sample | MoE | Result | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 29, 2024 | 43.1% | 56.9% | D+13.8% | 400 | ±4.9% | D+5.9% | D+7.9% |
| October 3, 2024 | 44.0% | 56.0% | D+12.0% | 400 | ±4.9% | D+5.9% | D+6.1% |
Methodology.
Latest poll: 400 likely voters in New Jersey.
Responses weighted by Demographics and Spectrum. Average expected error ±4.9%. See
Why trust our polls?
for the methodology, disclosures and accuracy record.