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North Carolina · Supreme Court · poll 1 of 2

Griffin vs. Riggs · September 23, 2024

Allison Riggs
52.4%
Allison Riggs (D)
Jefferson Griffin
47.6%
Jefferson Griffin (R)
D+4.8%
Published September 23, 2024 · 400 likely voters · MoE ±4.9%
Election result
D+0.0% Allison Riggs won
This poll's error: D+4.8%
What we wrote at the time

North Carolina Statewide Elections are a Mixed Bag

September 23, 2024

ActiVote’s September 23, 2024 North Carolina statewide polls finds that Democrats lead in 7 races, Republicans lead in 5 races and one race is tied. The average lead in these 13 races is just 3.0%

The polls were in the field between August 20 and September 22 (median field date of September 6). The polls were among 400 likely presidential election voters and have an average expected error of 4.9%.

Overview

The Political Spectrum crosstabs below show the support for the candidates among left, moderate left, center, moderate right, and right voters. These groups are defined by splitting the national electorate in 5 equal sized groups of 20% each. Please note that in the swing state of North Carolina, the distribution over these categories is not exactly equal to the national average.

Crosstabs

Weighted results by demographic group · September 23, 2024

Left
100%
Moderate Left
98%
Center
61%
39%
Moderate Right
15%
85%
Right
9%
91%
Allison RiggsJefferson Griffin

The full crosstab table

ActiVote · North Carolina Supreme Court 2024 · September 23, 2024
ActiVote 400 LV Unweighted Weighted Allison Riggs Jefferson Griffin
National ±4.9% MoE 100% 100% 52.4% 47.6%
Political Spectrum Left 25% 22% 100% 0%
Moderate Left 27% 16% 98% 2%
Center 19% 15% 61% 39%
Moderate Right 12% 21% 15% 85%
Right 16% 26% 9% 91%
Region rural 43% 44% 44% 56%
suburban 52% 50% 57% 43%
urban 5% 6% 72% 28%
Age 18-29 30% 16% 56% 44%
30-49 33% 29% 50% 50%
50-64 25% 26% 44% 56%
65+ 12% 29% 60% 40%
Gender F 33% 54% 58% 42%
M 67% 46% 45% 55%
Party D 35% 33% 90% 10%
R 23% 32% 14% 86%
I 41% 35% 52% 48%
Ethnicity White 77% 68% 42% 58%
Black 17% 22% 88% 12%
Latino 5% 6% 64% 36%
Income Low 17% 22% 58% 42%
Middle 40% 47% 52% 48%
High 43% 31% 49% 51%
Education HS 23% 31% 41% 59%
Some C 13% 25% 53% 47%
BSC+ 65% 44% 60% 40%
All polls in this race: September 23, 2024 · October 27, 2024
Methodology. 400 likely voters in North Carolina. Responses weighted by Demographics and Spectrum. Average expected error ±4.9%. See Why trust our polls? for the methodology, disclosures and accuracy record.