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North Carolina · Court of Appeals, Seat 15 · poll 1 of 2

Freeman vs. Moore · September 23, 2024

Christopher Freeman
51.8%
Christopher Freeman (R)
Martin Moore
48.2%
Martin Moore (D)
R+3.6%
Published September 23, 2024 · 400 likely voters · MoE ±4.9%
Election result
R+3.5% Christopher Freeman won
This poll's error: R+0.1%
What we wrote at the time

North Carolina Statewide Elections are a Mixed Bag

September 23, 2024

ActiVote’s September 23, 2024 North Carolina statewide polls finds that Democrats lead in 7 races, Republicans lead in 5 races and one race is tied. The average lead in these 13 races is just 3.0%

The polls were in the field between August 20 and September 22 (median field date of September 6). The polls were among 400 likely presidential election voters and have an average expected error of 4.9%.

Overview

The Political Spectrum crosstabs below show the support for the candidates among left, moderate left, center, moderate right, and right voters. These groups are defined by splitting the national electorate in 5 equal sized groups of 20% each. Please note that in the swing state of North Carolina, the distribution over these categories is not exactly equal to the national average.

Crosstabs

Weighted results by demographic group · September 23, 2024

Left
97%
Moderate Left
94%
Center
42%
58%
Moderate Right
93%
Right
95%
Christopher FreemanMartin Moore

The full crosstab table

ActiVote · North Carolina Court of Appeals, Seat 15 2024 · September 23, 2024
ActiVote 400 LV Unweighted Weighted Christopher Freeman Martin Moore
National ±4.9% MoE 100% 100% 51.8% 48.2%
Political Spectrum Left 26% 22% 3% 97%
Moderate Left 26% 16% 6% 94%
Center 19% 15% 42% 58%
Moderate Right 13% 21% 93% 7%
Right 17% 26% 95% 5%
Region rural 44% 44% 56% 44%
suburban 51% 50% 51% 49%
urban 5% 6% 30% 70%
Age 18-29 31% 16% 48% 52%
30-49 34% 29% 54% 46%
50-64 24% 26% 58% 42%
65+ 11% 29% 46% 54%
Gender F 33% 54% 45% 55%
M 67% 46% 59% 41%
Party D 35% 33% 12% 88%
R 23% 32% 93% 7%
I 41% 35% 53% 47%
Ethnicity White 76% 68% 62% 38%
Black 18% 22% 15% 85%
Latino 5% 6% 48% 52%
Income Low 18% 22% 44% 56%
Middle 39% 47% 52% 48%
High 43% 31% 57% 43%
Education HS 24% 31% 60% 40%
Some C 13% 25% 53% 47%
BSC+ 63% 44% 46% 54%
All polls in this race: September 23, 2024 · October 27, 2024
Methodology. 400 likely voters in North Carolina. Responses weighted by Demographics and Spectrum. Average expected error ±4.9%. See Why trust our polls? for the methodology, disclosures and accuracy record.