Maryland · President · 2024
Harris vs. Trump
63.5%
Kamala Harris (D)
36.5%
Donald Trump (R)
D+27.0%
Final poll · published October 31, 2024 · 400 likely voters · MoE ±4.9%
Election result
D+28.5% Kamala Harris won
Our final poll (D+27.0%) · error:
R+1.5%
How the race moved (2 polls)
Crosstabs
Final poll, weighted results by demographic group · October 31, 2024
Left
98%
Moderate Left
100%
Center
40%
60%
Moderate Right
97%
Right
100%
Donald TrumpKamala Harris
The full crosstab table
 | 400 LV | Unweighted | Weighted | Donald Trump | Kamala Harris |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National | ±4.9% MoE | 100% | 100% | 36.5% | 63.5% |
| Political Spectrum | Left | 31% | 28% | 2% | 98% |
| Moderate Left | 26% | 24% | 0% | 100% | |
| Center | 20% | 19% | 40% | 60% | |
| Moderate Right | 11% | 16% | 97% | 3% | |
| Right | 12% | 13% | 100% | 0% | |
| Region | rural | 15% | 16% | 48% | 52% |
| suburban | 51% | 44% | 43% | 57% | |
| urban | 34% | 40% | 24% | 76% | |
| Age | 18-29 | 9% | 7% | 40% | 60% |
| 30-49 | 49% | 31% | 38% | 62% | |
| 50-64 | 29% | 30% | 38% | 62% | |
| 65+ | 13% | 32% | 33% | 67% | |
| Gender | F | 40% | 55% | 32% | 68% |
| M | 60% | 45% | 42% | 58% | |
| Party | D | 54% | 55% | 17% | 83% |
| R | 25% | 26% | 74% | 26% | |
| I | 19% | 18% | 46% | 54% | |
| Ethnicity | White | 72% | 56% | 53% | 47% |
| Black | 20% | 30% | 16% | 84% | |
| Latino | 4% | 6% | 26% | 74% | |
| Income | Low | 9% | 12% | 43% | 57% |
| Middle | 23% | 31% | 47% | 53% | |
| High | 68% | 57% | 30% | 70% | |
| Education | HS | 21% | 27% | 30% | 70% |
| Some C | 11% | 20% | 39% | 61% | |
| BSC+ | 67% | 53% | 39% | 61% |
Every poll in this race
| Published | Trump | Harris | Gap | Sample | MoE | Result | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 31, 2024 | 36.5% | 63.5% | D+27.0% | 400 | ±4.9% | D+28.5% | R+1.5% |
| October 15, 2024 | 37.1% | 62.9% | D+25.8% | 400 | ±4.9% | D+28.5% | R+2.7% |
Methodology.
Latest poll: 400 likely voters in Maryland.
Responses weighted by Demographics and Spectrum. Average expected error ±4.9%. See
Why trust our polls?
for the methodology, disclosures and accuracy record.