ActiVote
← 2024 archive
Indiana · Governor · 2024

Braun vs. McCormick

Mike Braun
55.7%
Mike Braun (R)
Jennifer McCormick
44.3%
Jennifer McCormick (D)
R+11.4%
Final poll · published October 29, 2024 · 400 likely voters · MoE ±4.9%
Election result
R+13.3% Mike Braun won
Our final poll (R+11.4%) · error: D+1.9%

How the race moved (2 polls)

40%45%50%55%60%Oct 5Oct 2955.7%Braun44.3%McCormick

Crosstabs

Final poll, weighted results by demographic group · October 29, 2024

Left
100%
Moderate Left
98%
Center
53%
47%
Moderate Right
92%
Right
99%
Mike BraunJennifer McCormick

The full crosstab table

ActiVote · Indiana Governor 2024 · October 29, 2024
ActiVote 400 LV Unweighted Weighted Mike Braun Jennifer McCormick
National ±4.9% MoE 100% 100% 55.7% 44.3%
Political Spectrum Left 30% 19% 0% 100%
Moderate Left 25% 15% 2% 98%
Center 18% 15% 53% 47%
Moderate Right 14% 18% 92% 8%
Right 13% 33% 99% 1%
Region rural 39% 44% 63% 37%
suburban 46% 43% 52% 48%
urban 15% 13% 44% 56%
Age 18-29 25% 12% 43% 57%
30-49 39% 29% 47% 53%
50-64 24% 26% 57% 43%
65+ 12% 33% 67% 33%
Gender F 36% 53% 48% 52%
M 64% 47% 64% 36%
Party D 40% 31% 14% 86%
R 35% 40% 80% 20%
I 24% 29% 66% 34%
Ethnicity White 90% 86% 61% 39%
Black 4% 7% 0% 100%
Latino 4% 4% 54% 46%
Income Low 23% 23% 64% 36%
Middle 40% 48% 54% 46%
High 37% 29% 53% 47%
Education HS 33% 36% 57% 43%
Some C 8% 22% 43% 57%
BSC+ 59% 42% 62% 38%

Every poll in this race

Published BraunMcCormick Gap Sample MoE Result Error
October 29, 2024 55.7% 44.3% R+11.4% 400 ±4.9% R+13.3% D+1.9%
October 5, 2024 54.2% 45.8% R+8.4% 400 ±4.9% R+13.3% D+4.9%
Methodology. Latest poll: 400 likely voters in Indiana. Responses weighted by Demographics and Spectrum. Average expected error ±4.9%. See Why trust our polls? for the methodology, disclosures and accuracy record.