Harris vs. Trump · October 19, 2024
Harris Leads in Colorado
ActiVote’s October 20, 2024 Colorado Presidential poll shows that Vice President Harris leads former President Trump by 17.4%. The poll was among 400 likely voters, has an average expected error of 4.9%, and was in the field between September 15, 2024 and October 19, 2024 with a median field date of October 2.
Trump leads among the elderly (65+), Republicans and those with some college. Harris leads among all other groups.
Political Spectrum
The crosstabs below show the support for Harris and Trump among left, moderate left, center, moderate right, and right voters. These groups are defined by splitting the national electorate in 5 equal sized groups of 20% each. Please note that in the blue state of Colorado there are more left-leaning voters than the national average and fewer right-leaning voters.
Harris takes almost all (96%) of her core constituency (the left and moderate left), while Trump takes 91% of his core constituency (the right and moderate right). Harris also leads among centrists.
Comparisons
In 2020, Biden beat Trump in Colorado by 13.5% while in 2016 Clinton beat Trump by 4.9%.
Crosstabs
Weighted results by demographic group · October 19, 2024
The full crosstab table
 | 400 LV | Unweighted | Weighted | Donald Trump | Kamala Harris |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National | ±4.9% MoE | 100% | 100% | 41.3% | 58.7% |
| Political Spectrum | Left | 27% | 28% | 1% | 99% |
| Moderate Left | 31% | 19% | 7% | 93% | |
| Center | 18% | 19% | 41% | 59% | |
| Moderate Right | 10% | 16% | 87% | 13% | |
| Right | 14% | 19% | 96% | 4% | |
| Region | rural | 29% | 27% | 46% | 54% |
| suburban | 35% | 33% | 42% | 58% | |
| urban | 36% | 39% | 37% | 63% | |
| Age | 18-29 | 20% | 15% | 21% | 79% |
| 30-49 | 40% | 35% | 37% | 63% | |
| 50-64 | 25% | 23% | 45% | 55% | |
| 65+ | 14% | 26% | 55% | 45% | |
| Gender | F | 39% | 51% | 37% | 63% |
| M | 61% | 49% | 45% | 55% | |
| Party | D | 34% | 28% | 6% | 94% |
| R | 18% | 25% | 98% | 2% | |
| I | 43% | 46% | 31% | 69% | |
| Ethnicity | White | 88% | 79% | 43% | 57% |
| Black | 2% | 2% | 0% | 100% | |
| Latino | 6% | 15% | 45% | 55% | |
| Income | Low | 15% | 12% | 48% | 52% |
| Middle | 35% | 37% | 45% | 55% | |
| High | 50% | 51% | 37% | 63% | |
| Education | HS | 15% | 23% | 39% | 61% |
| Some C | 13% | 24% | 59% | 41% | |
| BSC+ | 72% | 53% | 34% | 66% |