2024 cycle archive

The 2024 election, as we polled it

227 polls · 87 races · 25 states plus national. Every race below is generated straight from our polling engine's output — click through for trendlines and full crosstabs.

Where we polled

Color = leader & margin of our final poll · click a state to filter

National

Races polled nationwide. · 5 races

National President: Trump vs. Harris

Full race & crosstabs →

14 national polls, July – November 2024 · 1000 likely voters each, MoE ±3.1%

National · President14 polls

Trump vs. Harris

Donald Trump 50.5% · +1.0 in our final poll

Result: R+1.5% · error: D+0.5%

National · President10 polls

Trump vs. Biden

Donald Trump 50.5% · +1.0 in our final poll

National · President6 polls

Trump vs. Biden vs. Kennedy

Donald Trump 43.4% · +2.0 in our final poll

National · President2 polls

Harris vs. Trump vs. Kennedy

Kamala Harris 45.0% · +0.6 in our final poll

National · President1 poll

Haley vs. Biden

Nikki Haley 51.0% · +2.0 in our final poll

General election

Statewide races on the November ballot. · 81 races

Arizona · President2 polls

Trump vs. Harris

Donald Trump 50.9% · +1.8 in our final poll

Result: R+5.5% · error: D+3.7%

Arizona · U.S. Senate2 polls

Gallego vs. Lake

Ruben Gallego 54.3% · +8.6 in our final poll

Result: D+2.4% · error: D+6.2%

California · President4 polls

Harris vs. Trump

Kamala Harris 62.8% · +25.6 in our final poll

Result: D+20.1% · error: D+5.5%

California · U.S. Senate4 polls

Schiff vs. Garvey

Adam Schiff 61.2% · +22.4 in our final poll

Result: D+17.7% · error: D+4.7%

Colorado · President2 polls

Harris vs. Trump

Kamala Harris 56.6% · +13.2 in our final poll

Result: D+11.0% · error: D+2.2%

Florida · President5 polls

Trump vs. Harris

Donald Trump 55.8% · +11.6 in our final poll

Result: R+13.1% · error: D+1.5%

Florida · U.S. Senate3 polls

Scott vs. Mucarsel-Powell

Rick Scott 55.2% · +10.4 in our final poll

Result: R+12.8% · error: D+2.4%

Georgia · President3 polls

Trump vs. Harris

Donald Trump 51.1% · +2.2 in our final poll

Result: R+2.2% · error: R+0.0%

Illinois · President3 polls

Harris vs. Trump

Kamala Harris 58.4% · +16.8 in our final poll

Result: D+10.9% · error: D+5.9%

Indiana · President2 polls

Trump vs. Harris

Donald Trump 57.7% · +15.4 in our final poll

Result: R+19.0% · error: D+3.6%

Indiana · U.S. Senate2 polls

Banks vs. McCray

Jim Banks 57.4% · +14.8 in our final poll

Result: R+19.9% · error: D+5.1%

Indiana · Governor2 polls

Braun vs. McCormick

Mike Braun 55.7% · +11.4 in our final poll

Result: R+13.3% · error: D+1.9%

Indiana · Attorney General2 polls

Rokita vs. Wells

Todd Rokita 54.6% · +9.2 in our final poll

Result: R+17.7% · error: D+8.5%

Maryland · President2 polls

Harris vs. Trump

Kamala Harris 63.5% · +27.0 in our final poll

Result: D+28.5% · error: R+1.5%

Maryland · U.S. Senate1 poll

Alsobrooks vs. Hogan

Angela Alsobrooks 56.6% · +13.2 in our final poll

Result: D+11.8% · error: D+1.4%

Massachusetts · President2 polls

Harris vs. Trump

Kamala Harris 66.3% · +32.6 in our final poll

Result: D+25.2% · error: D+7.4%

Massachusetts · U.S. Senate1 poll

Warren vs. Deaton

Elizabeth Warren 63.1% · +26.2 in our final poll

Result: D+19.8% · error: D+6.4%

Michigan · President3 polls

Trump vs. Harris

Donald Trump 50.3% · +0.6 in our final poll

Result: R+1.4% · error: D+0.8%

Michigan · U.S. Senate2 polls

Slotkin vs. Rogers

Elissa Slotkin 51.2% · +2.4 in our final poll

Result: D+0.3% · error: D+2.1%

Minnesota · President2 polls

Harris vs. Trump

Kamala Harris 52.3% · +4.6 in our final poll

Result: D+4.2% · error: D+0.4%

Minnesota · U.S. Senate1 poll

Klobuchar vs. White

Amy Klobuchar 56.4% · +12.8 in our final poll

Result: D+15.7% · error: R+2.9%

Missouri · President3 polls

Trump vs. Harris

Donald Trump 58.0% · +16.0 in our final poll

Result: R+18.4% · error: D+2.4%

Missouri · U.S. Senate2 polls

Hawley vs. Kunce

Josh Hawley 56.3% · +12.6 in our final poll

Result: R+13.7% · error: D+1.1%

Missouri · Governor2 polls

Kehoe vs. Quade

Mike Kehoe 57.6% · +15.2 in our final poll

Result: R+20.4% · error: D+5.2%

Missouri · Attorney General2 polls

Bailey vs. Gross

Andrew Bailey 57.3% · +14.6 in our final poll

Result: R+21.9% · error: D+7.3%

Missouri · Lt. Governor2 polls

Wasinger vs. Brown

David Wasinger 57.1% · +14.2 in our final poll

Result: R+18.9% · error: D+4.7%

Missouri · Secretary of State2 polls

Hoskins vs. Phifer

Denny Hoskins 55.1% · +10.2 in our final poll

Result: R+18.0% · error: D+7.8%

Missouri · Treasurer2 polls

Malek vs. Osmack

Vivek Malek 56.0% · +12.0 in our final poll

Result: R+19.9% · error: D+7.9%

New Jersey · President2 polls

Harris vs. Trump

Kamala Harris 56.9% · +13.8 in our final poll

Result: D+5.9% · error: D+7.9%

New York · President3 polls

Harris vs. Trump

Kamala Harris 59.0% · +18.0 in our final poll

Result: D+12.6% · error: D+5.4%

New York · U.S. Senate3 polls

Gillibrand vs. Sapraicone

Kirsten Gillibrand 59.6% · +19.2 in our final poll

Result: D+18.3% · error: D+0.9%

North Carolina · President3 polls

Trump vs. Harris

Donald Trump 50.6% · +1.2 in our final poll

Result: R+3.2% · error: D+2.0%

North Carolina · Governor3 polls

Stein vs. Robinson

Josh Stein 57.6% · +15.2 in our final poll

Result: D+14.8% · error: D+0.4%

North Carolina · Agriculture Commissioner2 polls

Troxler vs. Taber

Steve Troxler 52.7% · +5.4 in our final poll

Result: R+7.7% · error: D+2.3%

North Carolina · Attorney General2 polls

Jackson vs. Bishop

Jeff Jackson 52.6% · +5.2 in our final poll

Result: D+2.9% · error: D+2.4%

North Carolina · Auditor2 polls

Boliek vs. Holmes

David Boliek 50.6% · +1.2 in our final poll

Result: R+1.7% · error: D+0.5%

North Carolina · Commissioner of Insurance2 polls

Causey vs. Marcus

Mike Causey 50.0% · +0.0 in our final poll

Result: R+4.2% · error: D+4.2%

North Carolina · Court of Appeals, Seat 122 polls

Murry vs. Thompson

Thomas Murry 51.8% · +3.6 in our final poll

Result: R+1.8% · error: R+1.8%

North Carolina · Court of Appeals, Seat 142 polls

Zachary vs. Eldred

Valerie Zachary 52.3% · +4.6 in our final poll

Result: R+4.5% · error: R+0.0%

North Carolina · Court of Appeals, Seat 152 polls

Freeman vs. Moore

Christopher Freeman 53.1% · +6.2 in our final poll

Result: R+3.5% · error: R+2.8%

North Carolina · Labor Commissioner2 polls

Farley vs. Winston

Luke Farley 51.7% · +3.4 in our final poll

Result: R+5.5% · error: D+2.1%

North Carolina · Lt. Governor2 polls

Weatherman vs. Hunt

Hal Weatherman 50.3% · +0.6 in our final poll

Result: D+1.9% · error: R+2.5%

North Carolina · Secretary of State2 polls

Marshall vs. Brown

Elaine Marshall 50.8% · +1.6 in our final poll

Result: D+2.1% · error: R+0.5%

North Carolina · Superintendent of Public Instruction2 polls

Green vs. Morrow

Mo Green 50.8% · +1.6 in our final poll

Result: D+2.4% · error: R+0.8%

North Carolina · Supreme Court2 polls

Griffin vs. Riggs

Jefferson Griffin 52.0% · +4.0 in our final poll

Result: D+0.0% · error: R+4.0%

North Carolina · Treasurer2 polls

Harris vs. Briner

Wesley Harris 50.6% · +1.2 in our final poll

Result: R+4.9% · error: D+6.1%

Ohio · President3 polls

Trump vs. Harris

Donald Trump 54.1% · +8.2 in our final poll

Result: R+11.2% · error: D+3.0%

Ohio · U.S. Senate4 polls

Moreno vs. Brown

Bernie Moreno 51.0% · +2.0 in our final poll

Result: R+3.6% · error: D+1.6%

Ohio · Supreme Court2 polls

Shanahan vs. Donnelly

Megan Shanahan 55.0% · +10.0 in our final poll

Result: R+11.4% · error: D+1.4%

Ohio · Supreme Court2 polls

Deters vs. Stewart

Joseph Deters 54.9% · +9.8 in our final poll

Result: R+10.4% · error: D+0.6%

Ohio · Supreme Court2 polls

Hawkins vs. Forbes

Daniel Hawkins 54.0% · +8.0 in our final poll

Result: R+10.1% · error: D+2.1%

Oklahoma · President2 polls

Trump vs. Harris

Donald Trump 66.8% · +33.6 in our final poll

Result: R+34.3% · error: D+0.7%

Pennsylvania · President3 polls

Harris vs. Trump

Kamala Harris 50.5% · +1.0 in our final poll

Result: R+1.7% · error: D+2.7%

Pennsylvania · U.S. Senate3 polls

Casey vs. McCormick

Bob Casey 50.5% · +1.0 in our final poll

Result: R+0.2% · error: D+1.2%

Pennsylvania · Attorney General3 polls

DePasquale vs. Sunday

Eugene DePasquale 51.0% · +2.0 in our final poll

Result: R+4.6% · error: D+6.6%

Pennsylvania · Auditor3 polls

DeFoor vs. Kenyatta

Timothy DeFoor 51.9% · +3.8 in our final poll

Result: R+5.2% · error: D+1.4%

Pennsylvania · Treasurer3 polls

Garrity vs. McClelland

Stacy Garrity 50.5% · +1.0 in our final poll

Result: R+6.3% · error: D+5.3%

South Carolina · President2 polls

Trump vs. Harris

Donald Trump 58.5% · +17.0 in our final poll

Result: R+17.9% · error: D+0.9%

Tennessee · President3 polls

Trump vs. Harris

Donald Trump 61.7% · +23.4 in our final poll

Result: R+29.7% · error: D+6.3%

Tennessee · U.S. Senate3 polls

Blackburn vs. Johnson

Marsha Blackburn 60.8% · +21.6 in our final poll

Result: R+29.6% · error: D+8.0%

Texas · President5 polls

Trump vs. Harris

Donald Trump 55.0% · +10.0 in our final poll

Result: R+13.7% · error: D+3.7%

Texas · President1 poll

Trump vs. Biden

Donald Trump 54.4% · +8.8 in our final poll

Texas · U.S. Senate5 polls

Cruz vs. Allred

Ted Cruz 52.4% · +4.8 in our final poll

Result: R+8.5% · error: D+3.7%

Texas · Court of Criminal Appeals, Place 73 polls

Parker vs. Mulder

Gina Parker 55.3% · +10.6 in our final poll

Result: R+16.9% · error: D+6.3%

Texas · Court of Criminal Appeals, Place 83 polls

Finley vs. Anyiam

Lee Finley 55.2% · +10.4 in our final poll

Result: R+17.9% · error: D+7.5%

Texas · Court of Criminal Appeals, Presiding Judge3 polls

Schenck vs. Taylor

David Schenck 55.2% · +10.4 in our final poll

Result: R+16.6% · error: D+6.2%

Texas · Railroad Commissioner3 polls

Craddick vs. Culbert

Christi Craddick 58.0% · +16.0 in our final poll

Result: R+18.1% · error: D+2.1%

Texas · Supreme Court, Place 23 polls

Blacklock vs. Jones

Jimmy Blacklock 56.0% · +12.0 in our final poll

Result: R+16.6% · error: D+4.6%

Texas · Supreme Court, Place 43 polls

Devine vs. Weems

John Devine 54.7% · +9.4 in our final poll

Result: R+14.8% · error: D+5.4%

Texas · Supreme Court, Place 63 polls

Bland vs. Goldstein

Jane Bland 56.6% · +13.2 in our final poll

Result: R+16.0% · error: D+2.8%

Utah · President1 poll

Trump vs. Harris

Donald Trump 60.0% · +20.0 in our final poll

Result: R+21.6% · error: D+1.6%

Virginia · President2 polls

Harris vs. Trump

Kamala Harris 54.1% · +8.2 in our final poll

Result: D+5.8% · error: D+2.4%

Virginia · U.S. Senate3 polls

Kaine vs. Cao

Tim Kaine 54.7% · +9.4 in our final poll

Result: D+8.9% · error: D+0.5%

Washington · President2 polls

Harris vs. Trump

Kamala Harris 59.1% · +18.2 in our final poll

Result: D+18.2% · error: D+0.0%

Washington · Governor2 polls

Ferguson vs. Reichert

Bob Ferguson 58.6% · +17.2 in our final poll

Result: D+11.2% · error: D+6.0%

Washington · Attorney General1 poll

Brown vs. Serrano

Nick Brown 57.1% · +14.2 in our final poll

Result: D+11.3% · error: D+2.9%

Washington · Lt. Governor1 poll

Heck vs. Matthews

Denny Heck 60.8% · +21.6 in our final poll

Result: D+11.6% · error: D+10.0%

Washington · Secretary of State1 poll

Hobbs vs. Whitaker

Steve Hobbs 63.6% · +27.2 in our final poll

Result: D+18.5% · error: D+8.7%

Washington · Treasurer1 poll

Pellicciotti vs. Hanek

Mike Pellicciotti 58.8% · +17.6 in our final poll

Result: D+14.6% · error: D+3.0%

Wisconsin · President2 polls

Harris vs. Trump

Kamala Harris 50.9% · +1.8 in our final poll

Result: R+0.9% · error: D+2.7%

Wisconsin · U.S. Senate2 polls

Baldwin vs. Hovde

Tammy Baldwin 53.6% · +7.2 in our final poll

Result: D+0.8% · error: D+6.4%

Primaries

Nomination contests. · 1 race

National · Republican Primary1 poll

Trump vs. Haley

Donald Trump 83.0% · +66.0 in our final poll

How did we do? 2024 MVP pollster rankings Our 2024 recap Why trust our polls? The 2026 cycle →