ActiVote Poll – June 27th, 2020

ActiVote conducted a national, presidential election poll among 614 registered voters during the past 4 weeks. The result is weighted to represent the national electorate on characteristics such as region, gender, age, party affiliation, ethnicity, education, income, and likelihood to vote.

By nature of our poll there are no undecideds among our survey responses (so all categories sum to 100%) and we only focus on the head-to-head competition between the presumptive Democratic candidate (former Vice President Joe Biden) and the presumptive Republican candidate (current President Donald Trump).

For information on how we conducted this poll, and our current estimate of a 5% liberal bias in our results, please see our answers to the CNN Transparency questionnaire for polling standards

Overall, former Vice President Biden leads President Trump by 16 points: 

Both Republicans and Democrats vote their party with only 1 in 8 Republicans and 1 in 7 Democrats defecting from their party. Biden’s lead comes from the overwhelming majority support he has under Independents and 3rd party voters.

We found a gender gap of 30%, with women having an almost 2:1 preference for Biden, while men are evenly divided between Biden and Trump.

Young voters overwhelmingly prefer Biden (56% gap), while those 30-49 prefer Biden 2:1. The 50-64 age category is evenly divided, while Trump has an 8% edge among those of 65 and older.

The racial divide is enormous. White voters are most closely divided with Biden at a 4% lead. Black voters are almost unanimously for Biden, while Latino’s are 3:2 for Biden. Trump has a small lead among Asians.

The educational divide is significant. Those with less education (High school or less) prefer Trump by 14%, while those with some college or more prefer Biden by about 20 points.

Trump leads by 6% in the lowest income category. Biden leads by about 20% among the middle income and higher earners.

Below are links to our previous installments of our weekly presidential poll.

ActiVote Presidential Poll June 20th, 2020

ActiVote Presidential Poll June 6th, 2020

ActiVote Presidential Poll May 30th, 2020