ActiVote Poll – June 6th, 2020
ActiVote conducted a national, presidential election poll among 397 registered voters during the past 4 weeks. The result was weighted to represent the national electorate on characteristics such as gender, age, party affiliation, ethnicity, education, income, and likelihood to vote.
Overall, former Vice President Biden leads President Trump by 14 points:
Most voters vote their party, but Democrats are slightly more united than Republicans this time. Biden has a 36-point lead among independents. Among the small number of 3rd party voters (e.g. Libertarians), Trump leads with 59% of the vote, followed by Biden with 23% of the vote, while Jorgenson gets 17% of the vote.
The gender gap was about 16%, with women having a clear preference for Biden, while men are preferring Biden by 5%.
Young voters overwhelmingly prefer Biden (56% gap), while those aged 30-49 prefer Biden by 16%. Trump leads the two older categories by 3% and 6% respectively.
The racial divide is enormous: White voters prefer Trump by 5%, Black voters are almost unanimous for Biden, while Latino, Asian and other voters all prefer the former Vice President by at least a 2:1 ratio.
The educational divide is significant as well: those with a high school diploma or less prefer Trump, while those with some college prefer Biden. Those with at least a Bachelor’s degree favor Biden by just 4%. In this group we are seeing about 5% support for Jorgenson.
Income does not seem to be a major predictor for candidate preference, except that those who are better off prefer Biden by a larger margin.
Below are links to our previous installments of our weekly presidential pollActiVote Presidential Poll May 30th, 2020